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3 of the best Lithium stocks for 2022 to buy now

3 of the best Lithium stocks for 2022 to buy now

2022年最值得現在購買的鋰庫存中的3個
InvestorPlace ·  2021/12/21 10:02  · 觀點

With accelerated adoption of electric vehicles, lithium demand has surged. There are various estimates that indicate multi-fold increase in lithium demand over the next decade. That will only go to help lithium stocks.

隨着電動汽車的加速採用,鋰的需求激增。有各種估計表明,未來十年鋰需求將增長數倍。這隻會幫助鋰庫存。

Some of the best lithium stocks have already witnessed a sharp rally in 2020 and 2021. It's likely that the rally will sustain in 2022 and demand continues to grow.

一些最好的鋰庫存已經在2020年和2021年出現了大幅上漲。這股漲勢可能會持續到2022年,需求也會繼續增長。

Lithium carbonate demand in 2020 was 305,000 tons. For 2021, it's expected that demand will increase to 452,000 tons. Additionally, demand is expected to increase by 14-fold to 1.8 million tons by 2030.

2020年碳酸鋰需求量為30.5萬噸。2021年,預計需求將增加到45.2萬噸。此外,到2030年,需求預計將增加14倍,達到180萬噸。

Another August 2021 report suggests that global lithium demand is "accelerating at a faster clip than previously thought." This is important from the perspective of lithium price. With the demand-supply scenario likely to remain tight, lithium producers are positioned for attractive price realization in the coming years.

2021年8月的另一份報告顯示,全球鋰需求正在“以比之前想象的更快的速度加速。”從鋰價格的角度來看,這一點很重要。由於供需形勢可能依然緊張,鋰生產商有望在未來幾年實現誘人的價格。

Here are three of the best lithium stocks that are positioned for a rally in 2022:

以下是為2022年漲勢做好準備的三大鋰股:

Lithium Stocks to Buy: Lithium Americas (LAC)

要購買的鋰庫存:鋰美洲(LAC)

LAC stock already surged by nearly 200% in the last 12 months. However, considering the long-term potential, I believe that accumulation can be considered on dips.

在過去的12個月裏,Lac的庫存已經飆升了近200%。然而,考慮到長期潛力,我認為可以考慮逢低積累。

In terms of the asset base, Thacker Pass has an annual production capacity of 60,000 tons of lithium carbonate and a mine life of 46 years. Further, the asset is likely to deliver an average annual EBITDA of $520 million. At a discount rate of 8%, the project has an after-tax net present value of $2.6 billion.

在資產基礎方面,Thacker Pass的年產能為6萬噸碳酸鋰,礦山壽命為46年。此外,該資產可能實現平均每年5.2億美元的EBITDA。以8%的貼現率計算,該項目的税後淨現值為26億美元。

Additionally, the Cauchari-Olaroz project has a production capacity of 40,000 tons per annum. The project life is 40 years with an annual EBITDA potential of $308 million.

此外,高加里-奧拉洛茲項目的年產能為4萬噸。該項目壽命為40年,年EBITDA潛力為3.08億美元。

Once these projects are operational, Lithium Americas will have an annual EBITDA potential of $800 million. It can potentially be higher depending on the lithium price. Clearly, the company still looks attractive at a market capitalization of $3.7 billion.

一旦這些項目投入運營,鋰美洲公司每年的EBITDA潛力將達到8億美元。根據鋰的價格,它可能會更高。顯然,該公司37億美元的市值看起來仍然很有吸引力。

From a financial perspective, the company reported cash and equivalents of $480 million. Recently, the company also announced a $225 million offering of convertible notes. There is ample liquidity buffer for near-term project development.

從財務角度來看,該公司報告的現金及現金等價物為4.8億美元。最近,該公司還宣佈發行2.25億美元的可轉換票據。近期項目發展有充足的流動性緩衝。

Overall, LAC stock is worth holding for the long term. With positive industry tailwinds coupled with high quality assets, the stock is a value creator.

總體而言,LAC股票值得長期持有。積極的行業順風加上優質資產,該股是價值創造者。

Albemarle Corporation (ALB)

Albemarle Corporation(ALB)

ALB stock is also among the best lithium stocks to consider for the medium to long term. The stock has corrected from recent highs of $291 to current levels of $218. I believe that gradual accumulation can be considered.

Alb庫存也是中長期考慮的最佳鋰庫存之一。該股已從近期高點291美元回調至目前的218美元水平。我認為可以考慮逐步積累。

For Q3 2021, the company reported lithium sales of $354 million, which was higher by 33% on a year-on-year basis. For the same period, the segment adjusted EBITDA was $123 million. This would imply an annualized adjusted EBITDA of $492 million.

2021年第三季度,該公司報告鋰銷售額為3.54億美元,同比增長33%。同期,該部門調整後的EBITDA為1.23億美元。這將意味着年化調整後的EBITDA為4.92億美元。

Overall, the lithium, bromine and catalyst business segments reported adjusted EBITDA of $863 million for the third quarter. The key point to note is that Albemarle expects adjusted EBITDA to increase three-fold by 2026. A large part of this growth is likely to come from lithium expansion.

總體而言,鋰、溴和催化劑業務部門報告第三季度調整後的EBITDA為8.63億美元。需要注意的關鍵一點是,Albemarle預計,到2026年,調整後的EBITDA將增加三倍。這一增長很大一部分可能來自鋰的擴張。

Therefore, the company has multi-year growth visibility. Importantly, with a credit rating of BBB (stable outlook) from S&P, the company is unlikely to have any funding headwinds.

因此,該公司具有多年增長的可見性。重要的是,由於標普的信用評級為BBB(展望穩定),該公司不太可能遇到任何融資逆風。

ALB stock also has an annualized dividend of $1.56. Considering the growth potential in the next five years, the stock is also a quality dividend growth name to consider.

Alb股票的年化股息也為1.56美元。考慮到未來五年的增長潛力,該股也是一個值得考慮的優質紅利增長名稱。

Lithium Stocks to Buy: Livent Corporation (LTHM)

需要購買的鋰股:利文特公司(Lient Corporation)

LTHM stock has witnessed positive momentum in the recent past. The stock has trended higher by 27% in the last six months. It seems likely that the rally will continue.

LTHM股票在最近的過去出現了積極的勢頭。在過去的六個月裏,該股的漲幅達到了27%。看起來這波漲勢很可能會持續下去。

Livent is a leading vertically integrated pure-play producer of low-cost lithium. The company is a seller to electric vehicle OEMs and battery manufacturers globally.

利文特是一家領先的垂直整合的低成本鋰純品生產商。該公司是全球電動汽車OEM和電池製造商的銷售商。

For the current year, the company expects revenue of $400 million (mid-range) and an adjusted EBITDA of $67 million.

對於本年度,該公司預計收入為4億美元(中檔),調整後的EBITDA為6700萬美元。

The key point to note is that Livent has a current production capacity of 20,000 metric tons of lithium carbonate. The company expects to increase capacity to 40,000 metric tons by Q4 2023.

需要注意的是,利文特目前的碳酸鋰生產能力為2萬噸。該公司預計到2023年第四季度將產能增加到4萬噸。

Additionally, with the expansion in Argentina, capacity is likely to ramp up to 60,000 metric tons beyond 2023. Therefore, there is clear revenue and EBITDA growth visibility over the next few years. This makes LTHM stock attractive for the long term.

此外,隨着阿根廷的擴張,2023年以後的產能可能會增加到6萬噸。因此,未來幾年有明顯的收入和EBITDA增長可見性。這使得LTHM股票具有長期吸引力。

From a financial perspective, Livent reported cash and equivalents of $195.3 million as of September.

從財務角度來看,利文特報告截至9月份的現金及現金等價物為1.953億美元。

The cash buffer will support near-term expansion plans. Additionally, the company has guided for operating cash flow of $55 million for 2021. As cash flows accelerate, internal funding will support further organic and inorganic growth. Overall, LTHM stock is among the best lithium stocks to consider for 2022 and beyond with big expansion plans being the catalyst for sustained upside.

現金緩衝將支持近期擴張計劃。此外,該公司還指導2021年的運營現金流為5500萬美元。隨着現金流的加速,內部資金將支持進一步的有機和無機增長。總體而言,LTHM庫存是2022年及以後值得考慮的最佳鋰庫存之一,大規模擴張計劃是持續上行的催化劑。

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