Market recap on uncertainty remained

市场对不确定性的重新审视

Opinion 01/07/2020 19:07 ET  Moomoo News

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We see the market edged lower today but mostly unchanged as the uncertainty remained in atmosphere and investors remained cautious over the geopolitical fears waving around between the U.S. and Iran. All major sectors in the S&P 500 closed the session in red and crude oil pulled back a bit from the recent gains.

(S&P 500: 3237.18 -0.28% DOW: 28583.68 -0.42% NASDAQ: 9068.58 -0.03%

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SPX Hourly source: moomoo

On the hourly basis, you can see the $S&P 500 index(.SPX.US)$ trended into the range between roughly 3215 and 3250 and we are experiencing a consolidation after a Dec. bullish range extension. Remember the levels are important, it's indicative of sentiment in the market as if the market is about to move upward, downward or just consolidate to absorb more volatilities and momentum for the later directional move.

We could find a similar pattern in $NASDAQ COMPOSITE(.IXIC.US)$ or $Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI.US)$ as both of them are a little bit shy of an all-time high, consolidating in a range of 8900 to 9090 and 28400 to 28700 respectively. Russell 2000 is the only exception among the broader equity markets as it continues to lag behind the other indices. That's the broader picture of perspective.

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USO Daily source: moomoo

Going beyond the equity markets, we have our $United States Oil Fund Lp Units(USO.US)$ representing the crude oil quotes which experienced a big slid and liquidation event back in 2018, and 2019 it had been consolidating between roughly 10.5 and 13.00 levels. Recently based on the geopolitical risks sparked in the middle east, the $United States Oil Fund Lp Units(USO.US)$ once hit its intermediate high at 13.32 which is also a reference level of resistance, so it's maybe creating a sell-opportunity or a sell swing as a bearish strategy if you are a pattern type.

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GLD Daily source: moomoo

For $SPDR Gold(GLD.US)$, based on this ETF we track it as gold. It has completely exceeded its bull flag target roughly at 147 or at least the prior high. Since $SPDR Gold(GLD.US)$ broke above the recent resistant level, GLD could have an additional room to run toward the upside. If there are any additional headlines events to take place further you may see investors would chase the safe products and see an extension toward the upside of the gold market. An alternative for GLD is $Silver Trust Ishares(SLV.US)$ as the safe and inflation protective products in commodities.

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TLT Daily source: moomoo

Bonds, $20+ Year Trsy Bond Ishares(TLT.US)$ did have a short swing which ended its earlier spike at 139.50 which is lying at the descending triangle upper trend as the chart showed. The bonds just like the gold, if things turned out to be sour, you might see the bonds take a similar path as GLD, and in the end, that would result most like in the S&P 500 or other equity indices falling lower.

Author/Eli

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我们今天看到市场小幅走低,但大部分没有变化,因为不确定的气氛依然存在,投资者对美国和伊朗之间的地缘政治担忧仍持谨慎态度。标准普尔500指数(S&P 500)所有主要板块收盘时均为红油和原油,近期涨幅略有回落.

(标准普尔500指数:3237.18%-0.28%道:28583.68%-0.42%纳斯达克:9068.58%-0.03%)

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资料来源:Moomoo

按小时计算,你可以看到标准普尔500指数(.SPX.US)美元走势在3215至3250之间,在去年12月看涨区间扩大后,我们正在经历整合。请记住,水平是重要的,这表明市场情绪似乎市场即将向上,向下或只是巩固,以吸收更多的波动和势头,为以后的方向移动。

我们可以在纳斯达克综合指数(.ixic.US)或道琼斯工业平均指数(.dji.us)中找到类似的模式,因为两者都略低于历史高点,分别在8900-9090和28400至28700之间。罗素2000在更广泛的股市中是唯一的例外,因为它仍然落后于其他指数。这是更广阔的视角。

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USO日报来源:Moomoo

除了股票市场之外,我们还有美国石油基金LP股(USO.US)美元,代表原油报价。早在2018年,原油报价就经历了大幅下滑和清算,2019年,原油价格在10.5至13.00之间进行了整合。最近,基于中东引发的地缘政治风险,美元美国石油基金Lp(USO.US)曾一度触及13.32的中间高点,这也是阻力的参考水平,因此,如果你是一种模式型的话,它可能正在创造一个卖出机会,或是一种卖空策略。

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GLD日报来源:Moomoo

对于$SPDR Gold(GLD.US)$,基于这个ETF,我们跟踪它为黄金。它已经完全超过了它的公牛旗目标,大约在147,或至少在先前的高点。由于美元SPDR黄金(GLD.US)美元突破了最近的阻力水平,GLD可能会有更多的空间往上跑。如果有更多的头条新闻事件发生得更远,你可能会看到投资者会追逐安全的产品,并看到黄金市场向上延伸。GLD的另一种选择是银信托iShares(SLV.US)美元作为商品中的安全和通胀防护产品。

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TLT日报来源:Moomoo

债券,20美元以上的Trsy BondyiShares(TLT.US)美元确实有一个短暂的波动,结束了它早些时候的峰值139.50,这是在下降的三角形上的趋势,如图表所示。这些债券就像黄金一样,如果结果是糟糕的话,你可能会看到债券走上了与GLD类似的道路,最终,结果将与标普500指数(S&P 500)或其它股票指数下跌的结果大相径庭。

提交人/Eli

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