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Bull Session| Goldman and BofA have different calls for market outlook. What about you?

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Chatterbox Moo wrote a column · May 24, 2022 02:09
After seven straight weeks of losses in $S&P 500 Index(.SPX.US)$, the market still shows an unclear direction. Investment banks gave out some opposite forecasts for the stock market.
In the latest weekly note to investor clients, $Goldman Sachs(GS.US)$ chief U.S. equity strategist David J. Kostin estimates the S&P 500 finishing the year at 4,300, implying a solid 9% rally from last Friday's close. The call of 4,300 is based on the worse economic cases if a recession happened. After the recent free-fall in major indexes, they adjust their previous optimistic 4,700 year-end forecasts. Whether $Nasdaq Composite Index(.IXIC.US)$ or $S&P 500 Index(.SPX.US)$ are flirting with the bear market this year.
Even Goldman already downgrades the market index, but they are hardly the most bearish on Wall Street. In the latest MLIV survey conducted by Bloomberg, most equities specialists seeing the S&P500 this year at 3,500.
Read more about the survey: Bloomberg survey predicts market to drop further
Bull Session| Goldman and BofA have different calls for market outlook. What about you?
The other pessimistic call comes from $Bank of America(BAC.US)$, which seeing "3,600 is the new bull case”from the latest flow report. The call of 3,600 means a further 7.7% drop in S&P500 from last Friday, just about wiping out all the gains accrued since Joe Biden won the presidential election in November 2020.
If history is any guide, investors could be in for at least five more months of pain if stocks enter into a bear market. Looking back over 140 years, market downturns of this magnitude tend to last 289 days, wiping out, on average, 37.3%.
--- According to BofA Securities chief investment strategist Michael Hartnett.
So mooers, What do you think? What is your prediction? Leave your comments below
Source: Fortune
Disclaimer: Moomoo Technologies Inc. is providing this content for information and educational use only. Read more
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