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高盛预测2023年全球股市熊市将加剧 随后有望出现积极信号

Goldman Sachs predicts that the global stock market bear market will intensify in 2023, and positive signals are expected thereafter

Moomoo 24/7 ·  Dec 20, 2022 05:19
The MSCI Global Stock Market Index fell about 19% this year. Although the stock market has rebounded since the summer, Goldman Sachs's strategy analysis team predicts that this round of bear market will experience more volatile declines and reach a low in late 2023. They expect interest rates to peak, the deterioration in economic growth to stabilize, and the stock market will continue to rebound thereafter. Goldman Sachs Research said that the recovery — or “hope” phase — of global stock markets usually begins with rising valuations during a recession. Historically, post-bottoming investments are superior to pre-bottoming investments: the 12-month average return for the month after bottoming was higher than the month before the bottom hit. The Goldman Sachs strategist wrote, “For this reason, we think it's still too early to prepare for a possible bull market transition.”
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